Year-end greetings from The Jordan,
Edmiston Group, Inc. (JEGI). We hope you and yours have a
happy and healthy 2009, and we also hope to see some better
news from the financial markets come the spring.
The tumultuous upheaval in recent months certainly changed
the pace and profile of M&A from the past few years. Remarkably,
through the first three quarters, the number of transactions
kept pace with 2007 in the media, information, marketing services
and technology sectors that JEGI serves, albeit with fewer
large deals as credit dried up. But the fourth quarter saw
a significant slowdown compared to Q4 2007’s volume,
as strategic buyers remained cautiously active, while private
equity reached a standstill.
At JEGI, we completed 17 transactions in 2008, nearly all
sell-side assignments and many of which found strategic buyers,
such as the sale of acerno to Akamai, Money Media to Pearson,
M:Metrics to comScore, Staffing Industry Analysts to Crain
Communications, Compliance Week to Haymarket, CQ Press to
SAGE, Becker Group to Viad, and both Think Service and Gartner’s
Vision Events to United Business Media.
Looking ahead, we’re hopeful that M&A activity will
begin to pick up toward the end of Q1 2009, as the credit
crunch eases and consumer confidence continues to bounce back
from October’s all-time low.
Among the sectors JEGI covers, we’re especially bullish
on marketing services. We anticipate that an advertising slowdown
will dramatically alter marketer spending patterns and surface
many viable/compelling M&A opportunities. We expect CMOs
to funnel leaner budgets away from “above the line”
brand awareness to “below the line” marketing
to drive leads, directly impact sales, and quickly shift market
share.
Technology (e.g., multi-channel integration and automation
for efficiency; analytics and optimization for measurement
and targeting; and interactive video for impact) will play
a decisive role in this transition. In the current M&A
environment, recurring revenue models will prevail, and we
expect keen interest and increased M&A activity in such
sectors as customer contact, loyalty and CRM, and interactive
advertising optimization, as well as marketing research and
information solutions.
At the same time, diversified media companies will be challenged
to continue growing their offline and online audiences, and
media models that generate large audiences at an efficient
cost will also be in demand.
Moving into 2009, please feel free to contact me or any of
our Managing Directors to discuss the overall market or your
M&A and strategic advisory needs. Meanwhile, as has become
our custom, we are forgoing Holiday cards to make a donation
to the Doe
Fund, the extraordinary organization that empowers people
to break the cycles of homelessness, welfare dependency and
incarceration through paid-work programs, housing, supportive
services, and business ventures.
Happy Holidays and Warmest Regards!
|